Real Estate

Real estate pricing: Short-term view needs long-term perspective

Real estate pricing: Short-term view needs long-term perspective

“Where will cap rates eventually settle after they peak?” It’s one of the most-asked questions by real estate investors.

It’s hard to answer though because cap rates don’t settle. They’re dynamic, transitioning from one period to the next. That’s why any short-term outlook for cap rates needs the context of long-term expectations.

Get a detailed answer to the cap rate question and the process for arriving at it in “Look past your nose: Why your short-term view of real estate pricing needs long-term perspective.” It covers:

  • Why a long-run view is needed: Why we believe the dynamic nature of real estate cap rates calls for a long-run intrinsic value1 approach to understanding cap rates.
  • Developing a long-term range: Step-by step assumptions to build a range of future long-term average real estate cap rates.
  • Comparing our long-term view to current cap rates: Using the long-term average range and current market average cap rates per sector as proxies for comparing potential exit cap rates to potential acquisition cap rates.

Read the complete paper.

Footnotes

  • 1

    Intrinsic value is a the perceived or "true value" of an investment, which may or may not equal the current market price due to over- or under-valuation by the market. It's commonly used in fundamental analysis but does not have a universal methodology for calculation. One firm's intrinsic value calculation of an investment may be different from another.

success failure

Fresh insights, delivered

Get the latest information and insights from our portfolio managers, market strategists, and investment experts.  

Fresh insights, delivered
Topic preference Please select one or more topics

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

When you interact with us, we may collect information about you which constitutes personal data under applicable laws and regulations. Our privacy notice explains how we use and protect your personal data.