Real estate

Podcast: What's next for the commercial real estate market?

Podcast: What's next for the commercial real estate market?

Bert Crouch, Head of North America and a portfolio manager with Invesco Real Estate, joined the Greater Possibilities podcast to address the chorus of questions about the US commercial real estate market, prompted by recent bank failures. Importantly, we also discussed the long-term trends that are opening up potential opportunities in areas such as retail, medical buildings, and apartments.

Here are some of the highlights from our conversation with Bert:

Is commercial real estate the proverbial “next shoe to drop” for the global economy?

  • There are clear headwinds including higher interest rates and tighter regional bank lending standards.
  • Fortunately, leverage, relative to the global financial crisis, is lower while debt service coverage ratios were much higher.
  • With challenges come opportunity. We are looking to take advantage of the opportunities that present themselves.

What are the opportunities that are presenting themselves?

  • As banks tighten lending standards to commercial real estate entities, Invesco Real Estate is willing to fill the funding gap, originating loans on what are believed to be favorable terms.
  • In addition, we are positioning to be a buyer of high-quality real estate assets as the regional banks scale back their exposure to commercial real estate.

Have the long-term structural opportunities changed?

No. We expect demand for apartment rentals to continue to grow in an environment when new supply remains low. Aging demographics continues to support life sciences, including research and development centers as well as hospitals. We expect omnichannel experiences to continue to transform retail space and e-commerce demand to remain supportive for industrial space.