Article
Applied philosophy – Strategist from East of the Elbe
September 9, 2024
Welcome to Applied Philosophy, a regular piece on global equity markets from András Vig and the Global Market Strategy Office. In the piece, they take an in-depth look at a topic of economic or market significance, before assessing how its evolution could inform or impact their model asset allocation.
Key takeaways
- The total returns of assets in Central and Eastern EU member countries (CEE11) have been subdued during Q3 2024 so far, especially in government bonds. Inflation has picked up in most economies, and interest rate expectations rose at the same time as global economic growth seemed to have slowed.
- We expect growth to reaccelerate in 2025 both within and outside the region, but remain below average, allowing inflation to fall.
- In our view, this outlook should support both government bonds and equities in our CEE11 universe.
FAQs
Asset allocation is the process of dividing an investment portfolio among different asset classes, such as stocks, bonds and cash and so on. Bonds generally tend to be ‘safer’ investments than stocks and are, for example, seen as more defensive. Assets are allocated based on economic and monetary expectations.
Model portfolios are a diversified group of assets. They are designed to achieve an expected return with the corresponding risk. Model portfolios are usually extensively researched and, in most cases, have a combination of managed investments.
Spreading the risk and number of potential opportunities across various asset classes, such as equities, fixed income, and commodities. The aim of diversification is to reduce the overall risk of the portfolio.
Catch up on the last few editions:
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The value of investments and any income will fluctuate (this may partly be the result of exchange rate fluctuations) and investors may not get back the full amount invested.
Important information
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This is marketing material and not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any particular asset class, security or strategy. Regulatory requirements that require impartiality of investment/investment strategy recommendations are therefore not applicable nor are any prohibitions to trade before publication.
Where individuals or the business have expressed opinions, they are based on current market conditions, they may differ from those of other investment professionals, they are subject to change without notice and are not to be construed as investment advice.
