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2025 Investment Outlook
We expect growth to continue to slow in the near term, followed by a reacceleration through 2025, which should foster a favourable environment for risk assets globally.
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Unemployment concerns and rising inflation expectations contribute to falling US consumer sentiment, while the German election could be a positive catalyst for European equities.
Catalysts like DeepSeek have sparked a surge in Chinese stocks, while US inflation expectations indicate growing concerns about a resurgence in prices.
Welcome to Uncommon Truths, Paul Jackson and Andras Vig’s regular in-depth look at the big topics impacting markets.
Gold kicked off 2025 with a 6.6% gain in January, supported by increasing economic and geopolitical uncertainty particularly related to the impacts of potential trade tariffs. Discover insights into the key macro events and what we think you should be keeping your eyes on in the near term.
Markets absorbed tariff news, tech company earnings, news from the new US Treasury Secretary, disappointing US inflation-related reports, and more.
Despite the volatility in bond markets throughout January, yields generally ended the month slightly lower, resulting in positive returns for most fixed income asset classes. Read our latest thoughts on how fixed income markets performed during the month and what we think you should be looking out for in the near term.