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Rising geopolitical tensions are beginning to weigh on global growth expectations, despite continued economic resilience. A decelerating risk appetite moves our framework to a slowdown regime, reflecting a more balanced and defensive posture in response to elevated uncertainty, rather than a fundamental shift in the economic cycle.
Our Global Tactical Asset Allocation Model1 remains moderately overweight stocks relative to fixed income, with a focus on defensive factors such as quality and low volatility.
See what our macro regime framework is telling us — and what we’re doing in response — in our April 2026 Tactical Asset Allocation update.
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This does not constitute a recommendation of any investment strategy or product for a particular investor. Investors should consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
All investing involves risk, including the risk of loss.
The opinions referenced above are those of the author as of April. 7, 2026. These comments should not be construed as recommendations but as an illustration of broader themes. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future results. They involve risks, uncertainties, and assumptions; there can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations.
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