Globalization means many things - migration, the exchange of ideas and culture, and trade and cross–border capital flows, to name a few. Increased trade tensions, especially between the US and China, have shined the spotlight on this topic and raised important questions: Is the end of globalization at hand and what are the implications for investors?
Here, we narrowly define globalization to mean trade in goods and services and suggest that the dramatic rise in global trade flows (especially manufactured goods) witnessed over the last three decades may have reached its zenith. We argue that this is not a new phenomenon – or related only to recent trade tensions – but rather the continuation of a trend underway since the global financial crisis.
So if globalization has been waning for years, what’s the worry?
November was a broadly positive month for bond markets as yields rallied into month end. Read our latest thoughts on how fixed income markets performed during the month and what we think you should be looking out for in the near term.
We believe the case for investing in bonds is the strongest it has been since the GFC. Invesco’s experts from across Fixed Income teams and asset classes share their views on the outlook and opportunities.
In our regularly updated macroeconomic analysis we offer an outlook for interest rates and currencies – and look at which fixed income assets are favoured across a range of market environments.
