Market outlook Five risks to know when investing in ETFs
Learn 5 of the key risks that investors should consider before investing in exchange-traded funds
In the dynamic world of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), a group has carved out a legacy of capturing the attention of investors for decades. Even casual investors may be familiar with some of the most popular ETFs by their tickers alone.
How have a handful of ETFs stood the test of time? We’ll take a look at the characteristics of an ETF that can endear itself to investors, whether it’s tracking a well-known index or being very liquid.
There’s no other way to say it: in ETFs, size matters. History has shown that the first-mover advantage exists in ETFs, for several reasons.
For an ETF to even survive, it has to reach a critical mass of assets to cover its expenses.
That’s just the first step, though. Once an investor or financial professional has decided to invest in an asset class, they may start their research with a list of the largest ETFs by assets. This can turn into a self-fulfilling prophecy because the big tend to get even bigger.
It’s probably not a coincidence that the oldest U.S.-listed ETF is also the largest. SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust (SPY) launched on January 22, 1993 and has just over $535 billion in assets.1 For perspective, Invesco QQQ ETF listed in 1999 and currently has about $252 billion in assets.2
When it comes to passively managed ETFs that follow indexes, having a well-known and trusted benchmark can be a huge differentiator. Again, using the examples of SPY and QQQ, tracking the S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq-100 Index, respectively, can be an advantage. These are the indices that investors use to follow the market and compare the performance of actively managed strategies. For example, the S&P 500 has over $11 trillion indexed or benchmarked to it.3 The Nasdaq-100 has been around since 1985 and is known as the home of some of the world’s most innovative companies.
Similar to an ETF’s size, trading volume and liquidity are often a case of the rich getting richer. What this means is that investors and traders tend to gravitate to the most highly traded ETFs, which begets even more activity.
ETFs with a lot of assets and trading volume can enjoy a halo effect. Among other things, it could tell investors they don’t really have to worry about the ETF closing or having wide bid/ask spreads.
Similar to individual stocks, ETFs with a lot of trading volume like QQQ are considered to be liquid. Yet there’s more to the liquidity story when it comes to ETFs. In addition to the ETF’s trading volume, the liquidity of the underlying asset class it invests in also matters.
At the end of the day, investors want performance. Although chasing performance is a well-known investor mistake, some of the oldest ETFs have respectable long-term track records.
In the case of QQQ, if you’d invested $10,000 twenty years ago, your money would be worth $131,162 as of December 31, 2023.4
Even though QQQ has outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 20 years, QQQ has been more volatile as measured by standard deviation.5,6 It’s a good reminder that there’s no free lunch in investing and that attractive long-term returns can often require enduring short-term volatility.
Standardized performance – Fund performance shown at NAV. Performance data quoted represents past performance, which is not a guarantee of future results; current performance may be higher or lower than performance quoted. Investment returns, and principal value will fluctuate, and shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. Index returns do not represent Fund returns. Invesco QQQ's total expense ratio is 0.20%.
It also may be a good idea not to let performance distract investors from the importance of portfolio construction. For example, bond ETFs typically underperform their stock counterparts over long periods, but fixed-income ETFs can play a critical role in portfolios by generating yield and diversification.7
Finally, when it comes to performance, passive ETFs are doing their job if they closely replicate the performance of their indices. Actively managed and smart beta ETFs, meanwhile, may aim to outperform benchmarks or deliver lower volatility.
The ETF business is known for being extremely competitive, and that’s a good thing for investors.
Much like individual companies, ETFs can benefit from competitive moats. In addition to the factors listed above, other competitive advantages can include the asset manager’s brand and expertise, and how unique or helpful the strategy is for investors.
SPY assets as of March 20, 2024: $535.19 Billion. Source: Bloomberg L.P.
QQQ assets as of March 5, 2024: $252.28 Billion. Source: Bloomberg L.P.
S&P Dow Jones Indices, as of December 31, 2022.
Morningstar Inc. Data is as of December 31, 2023. Fund performance shown at NAV. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. Index returns do not represent Fund returns. Results will vary based on investment amount and time period selected. The Invesco QQQ ETF incepted on March 10, 1999. Performance quoted is past performance and is not a guarantee of future results.
Over the past 20 years, QQQ has a cumulative NAV return of 1211.62%, vs S&P 500’s 536.67%. Bloomberg L.P, as of December 31, 2023.
QQQ’s implied volatility is 23.79, where S&P 500’s implied volatility is 15.37. Morningstar, as of March 31, 2024.
The Bloomberg US Aggregate Index, an index that is composed of the total U.S. investment-grade bond market, has had an annualized return of 3.84% vs. 9.71% of QQQ and 7.76% of the S&P 500 Index. Bloomberg L.P., March 10, 1999 – March 31, 2024.
Select the option that best describes you, or view the QQQ Product Details to take a deeper dive.
Learn 5 of the key risks that investors should consider before investing in exchange-traded funds
Discover more about Invesco QQQ’s performance milestones and longevity in the ETF industry.
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Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Diversification does not guarantee a profit or eliminate the risk of loss.
As with any comparison, investors should be aware of the material differences between active and passive strategies. Unlike passive strategies, active strategies have the ability to react to market changes and the potential to outperform a stated benchmark. Other differences include, but are not limited to, expenses, management style and liquidity. Investors should consult their financial professional before investing.
This does not constitute a recommendation of any investment strategy or product for a particular investor. Investors should consult a financial professional/financial consultant before making any investment decisions.
The opinions expressed are those of the author, are based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. These opinions may differ from those of other Invesco investment professionals.
There are risks involved with investing in ETFs, including possible loss of money. Index-based ETFs are not actively managed. Actively managed ETFs do not necessarily seek to replicate the performance of a specified index. Both index-based and actively managed ETFs are subject to risks similar to stocks, including those related to short selling and margin maintenance. Ordinary brokerage commissions apply. The Fund's return may not match the return of the Index. The Fund is subject to certain other risks. Please see the current prospectus for more information regarding the risk associated with an investment in the Fund.
The SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500. The S&P 500® Index is designed to measure the performance of the large-cap segment of the US equity market. It is float-adjusted market capitalization weighted. Invesco QQQ is an exchange-traded fund based on the Nasdaq-100 Index®. The Fund will, under most circumstances, consist of all of stocks in the Index. The Index includes 100 of the largest domestic and international nonfinancial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market based on market capitalization.
Beta is a measure of risk representing how a security is expected to respond to general market movements.
Smart Beta represents an alternative and selection index based methodology that seeks to outperform a benchmark or reduce portfolio risk, both in active or passive vehicles. Smart beta funds may underperform cap-weighted benchmarks and increase portfolio risk.
Invesco does not offer tax advice. Investors should consult their own tax professionals for information regarding their own tax situations.
Investors should be aware of the material differences between mutual funds and ETFs. ETFs generally have lower expenses than actively managed mutual funds due to their different management styles. Most ETFs are passively managed and are structured to track an index, whereas many mutual funds are actively managed and thus have higher management fees. Unlike ETFs, actively managed mutual funds have the ability to react to market changes and the potential to outperform a stated benchmark. Since ordinary brokerage commissions apply for each ETF buy and sell transaction, frequent trading activity may increase the cost of ETFs. ETFs can be traded throughout the day, whereas, mutual funds are traded only once a day. While extreme market conditions could result in illiquidity for ETFs. Typically they are still more liquid than most traditional mutual funds because they trade on exchanges. Investors should talk with their financial professional regarding their situation before investing.