Markets and Economy
Trump vs. Harris: Election changes course
Voters, party leaders, and down-ballot candidates have had to quickly shift gears from a Trump-Biden rematch to a Trump-Harris showdown in the 2024 presidential election.
Fresh perspectives on economic trends and events impacting the global markets.
Trump vs. Harris: Election changes course
Voters, party leaders, and down-ballot candidates have had to quickly shift gears from a Trump-Biden rematch to a Trump-Harris showdown in the 2024 presidential election.
When doves yell: Fed loudly signals a September rate cut
Minutes from the July FOMC meeting were surprisingly dovish, and Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell suggested a likely policy shift in comments from Jackson Hole.
Reversal of fortune
After the sharp decline bottomed on August 5, new data drove a strong US and global stock rally for one of the best weeks this year. We still believe the US will avoid a recession.
Why the recent market correction may have been an overreaction
Last week saw a big market sell-off that significantly reversed itself, suggesting the happiest investors may be those who ignored it all.
US recession fears prompt global market sell-off
Market corrections usually come from policy uncertainty and/or surprising weakness in the economy. But today’s recession worries seem like an overreaction.
Will the Federal Reserve follow the Bank of Canada in cutting interest rates?
The Bank of Canada cut interest rates again last week, with the Fed, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England all scheduled to meet this week.
What Biden’s historic election decision means for markets
Nominating a new US presidential candidate this late in the race creates additional uncertainty in the markets.
Could the Fed cut interest rates twice in 2024?
Recent data shows greater disinflationary progress in the US, which I believe will lead to a Federal Reserve rate cut this quarter, and I see room for more than one rate cut in 2024.
Reversals of fortune emerge in elections and economies
France and the United Kingdom see a change in political direction in recent elections. What could that mean for investors?
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