Economy
2021: Global Economic Outlook
What kind of economic recovery can we expect to see in 2021?
Investment outlook
Outlooks 2021
Introduced by Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist
Macroeconomic and asset allocation summary. Introduced by Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist
The year 2020 saw the global economy plunged into economic turmoil. Unlike many past crises, this one was unique in that it was not economic in origin but started as a health crisis. The COVID-19 pandemic rapidly impacted the economy through lockdowns across the globe, which stymied economic activity and caused an unprecedented destruction of demand. Given these circumstances, we recognize that the shape of economic growth in the coming year is dependent on a wide variety of factors, including: infection rates, fiscal policy, monetary policy, public health policy including the severity – or “stringency” – of lockdowns, progress towards the development of therapies and a vaccine, and consumer and business confidence.
To address the breadth of possibilities that lie ahead in this environment, we have brought some of our experienced investment professionals and thought leaders together to create an outlook for 2021 – a base case, an upside scenario and a downside scenario. Our goal is to provide you with a range of possibilities, enabling you to select the scenario that aligns most closely with your expectations for the coming year. To provide a broader perspective we have addressed these scenarios on both a global basis and with respect to specific economies – the United States, the eurozone and China.
To read Kristina’s thoughts on the various scenarios, plus our assessment of the macro outlook and the investment implications, read the full report.
Equities
Equities
2021: Playing the long game in global equities
As active managers in an industry where passive strategies continue to take market share, we remind everyone that great companies run by the right people do earn excess returns over long periods of time. We’ve built successful careers around identifying these companies, and buying them at the right price.
Factor Investing
2021: Using factors to navigate challenging markets
Bernhard Langer, CIO of Invesco Quantitative Strategies, outlines the benefits of systematic and factor investing approaches. Such approaches can include the use of systematic risk overlays that respond to market risks in a timely manner and thus help to protect clients’ assets.
Equities
2021: Another fruitful year for Chinese equities
Mike Shiao, CIO of the Asia Equity team (HK) outlines his views on the opportunities he sees within the Chinese equity markets. With the Covid-19 situation under control, he believes consumers will play a key role in driving the growth recovery.
Investment risks
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The value of investments and any income will fluctuate (this may partly be the result of exchange rate fluctuations) and investors.
Important Information
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Where individuals or the business have expressed opinions, they are based on current market conditions, they may differ from those of other investment professionals and are subject to change without notice.
